Drew McKissick's blog

State poll numbers and the 2012 presidential map

While all of the attention concerning the 2012 presidential race has been focused on the ongoing Republican primaries and caucuses, the most recent batch of state by state poll numbers from Gallup have received much less attention.  And they don't look good for President Obama.

When you take the current poll numbers regarding Obama's approval rating (e.g., where he has a "net positive" rating), and then assign that state's Electoral College votes on that basis, the result is a 323 to 215 vote blowout, with only 270 being necessary to secure the Presidency.

Of course it is VERY early to be making any predictions.  The election is still about eight months away, and that is several eternities in politics, (especially given how fast things have changed in this cycle).

But it is safe to assume that the Obama campaign would rather that the polling "shoe" be on the other foot at this point, as they are clearly starting out from a position of weakness.




Catholics strongly disapprove of Obama's job performance

In case you were wondering how Obama's latest mandate regarding insurance requirements for religious institutions is playing among a key constituency, wonder no longer:

Via Rasmussen:

Catholics strongly disapprove of the job President Obama is doing as the debate continues over his administration’s new policy forcing Catholic institutions to pay for contraception they morally oppose. While the president’s overall job approval ratings have improved over the past couple of months, they have remained steady among Catholics.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 59% of likely Catholic voters nationwide at least somewhat disapprove of the president’s job performance, while 40% at least somewhat approve. But the passion’s on the side of those who don’t like the job he’s doing: 44% Strongly Disapprove versus 19% who Strongly Approve.

Keep in mind that Catholics comprise about 27% of the electorate...and went for Obama by about 8 points in the '08 election...which makes them pretty key to his holding on to the White House this November. 

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Nurse forced to participate in abortion

A nurse in New York has filed a lawsuit against Mt. Sinai Hospital in New York, after being forced to assist in a late second-trimester abortion.  The hospital knew of her objections and essentially told her she would be fired otherwise.  Specifically, she would be charged with "insubordination and patient abandonment", leading to a possible loss of her job and her license as a nurse.

The woman's attorney stated:

"We're seeing more and more cases where pro-life health workers are facing requirements to assist in abortions against their rights of conscience."

Of course, this comes against the backdrop of the Democrats' attempt to have the federal government take over much of the health care industry in America, which, by definition, includes the people who actually practice medicine.  What kind of protection will those individuals be afforded to avoid doing things that violate their conscious or religious beliefs?  Such as, in this case, abortion, or even doctor assisted suicide - or straight out Euthanasia?

The short answer seems to be little.  Obama himself promised a "robust conscious clause", but this is the same President who used his authority to rescind such protections for medical practitioners that was put in place buy the Bush administration.

And Congress has already had an opportunity to extends such protection as part of the ongoing heath care debate and chose not to.  Specifically, the House rejected an amendment which would have done just that.

Voters in Maine say no to gay marriage

Given all the attention paid to the election results in Virginia and New Jersey, it was easy to miss if you weren't paying attention, but voters in Maine comfortably passed a referendum overturning their state legislature's recent enactment of a gay marriage law in that state.

After the law legalizing gay marriage was passed and signed by their governor this past summer, conservatives got organized and initiated a petition to get what amounts to a "citizen's veto" put on the ballot, which allows the public to overrule laws passed by the legislature.  (Imagine have that option on things passed in DC!)

After being outspent almost two to one, to say nothing of having to fight against the mainstream media as well, traditional marriage supporters came out on top and passed the referendum by approximately 53% to 47%.

This was special for a few reasons.

First, it was the first time that voters have been able to overturn gay marriage in a state where it was put in place by a state legislature, (as opposed to the usual suspects of liberal judges).

Second, it continues the unbroken string of thirty-one victories in a row where traditional marriage has been on the ballot.  In fact, voters in no state whatsoever have ever approved gay marriage when they were given the option.

Which should give a little pause to the liberal Democrats in Washington with designs on overturning the 1996 Defense of Marriage Act.


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White House getting religion on deficit?

After almost a year of big, new spending proposals - to say nothing of the tab that will come along with government run health care - the White House is signaling that this year's one and a half trillion dollar deficit might be a political problem that needs to be dealt with after all. 

It's a good bet that what this really represents is their recognition of what's happening in elections in Virginia, New Jersey and New York - and their trying to inoculate themselves against similar political damage in the future.

From the Washington Times... 

Anxiety about the deficit has fueled the anger of the conservative "tea party" activists, riled by government spending and debt, and it has seeded reservations about the long-term price tags of signature items on the president's agenda...

A speech last week by Christina D. Romer, chairman of the president's Council of Economic Advisers, looked at the reasons for the deficit and at how it relates to health care reform. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner appeared on NBC's "Meet the Press" on Sunday to make clear that the administration recognizes the deficit is growing too large.

"Well, it's going to have to come down. Now it's too high, and I think everybody understands this," Mr. Geithner said. "The president's very committed to bring down these deficits."

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Political Roundup: 10/29/09

Spending, schmending...

The Wall Street Journal has a great op-ed out today looking at government spending, as in how high it already is, and how much more the DC crowd wants to pile on top of it.

"The White House disclosed the other day that the fiscal 2009 budget deficit clocked in at $1.4 trillion, amid the usual promises to do something about it. Yet even as budget director Peter Orszag was speaking, House Democrats were moving on a dozen spending bills for fiscal 2010 that total 12.1% in more domestic discretionary increases. "

Yep, you read that right.  12.1%  And how much of that do you think is "one time only" spending, instead of "systemic"?  (hint: none)

They point out that from 2001-2008, the GOP raised spending at about double the rate of inflation...while the current crop of Democrats are besting inflation by six to one.

Quote of the Week:

The big spending ways of Congressional Democrats brings us to this quote of the week from New York's Church Schumer on Meet the Press.

He stated that:  "Barack Obama and we Democrats-this is counterintuitive but true-are really trying to get a handle on balancing the budget and we're making real efforts to do it."

No shame.

Poll: 33% Say U.S. Is Heading In The Right Direction (67% really paying attention...)

Political news and nuggets: 10-9-09

from 'round the sphere...

Democracy, shlemocracy...

Newt Gingrich points
out the undemocratic way the health care reform bill is being put
together...as in by just a few senators and their staff members.

Think about it: All of the power of the United States Senate to
transform one-sixth of our economy will be in the hands of three men
and their aides. It's government by staff, aided by lobbyists, for the
benefit of bureaucrats.

No wonder so many Democrats in Congress are so dead set against having
members read - and more importantly, allowing the American people to
read - bills before they vote on them. ...

Just 5 more days for that Specter refund

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New Coalition Poll: Your Main Concerns About Obamacare?

Cast your vote in our latest poll...then add your comments.

What are your main concerns about recently proposed health care reforms?

Your options:

  • The costs
  • Potential rationing of health care
  • Public funding of abortion
  • Loss of personal liberty
  • The government run "public option" in general
  • All of the above
  • Other

 Click here to cast you vote and comment.


TAKE ACTION: contact your members of Congress and let them know how you feel.

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Video: Kids Singing for Obamacare on CNN

This whole using kids as props / tools for Obama (and Obamacare) is really getting out of hand...  (By the way, I'm sure CNN "fact-checked" these kids song, just like they did the SNL skit that lampooned Obama).

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Montana strikes a blow big government regulation

The folks in Montana - Democrat Governor included - have struck a blow for states' rights and against the "enlarged" understanding of the Interstate Commerce Clause of the Constitution (through which so much of big government has been driven).

From Volokh:  

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